New information makes it easier to 鈥楾hink global, act local鈥� when conserving coral reefs
Coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef: image credit Paul MarshallCoral reefs provide vital resources, acting as both feeding grounds for fish stocks and natural barriers protecting vulnerable coastlines, among other essential ecosystem services.
But they鈥檙e under increasing threat of 鈥榖leaching鈥� 鈥� when the symbiotic algae that live within the coral are expelled due to warmer sea temperatures, starving the coral of photosynthetic energy and weakening the viability of the whole coral reef structure in the process.
New information showing at a very localised level, which coral reefs will be the first to suffer as a result of a predicted rise in global sea temperature averages, and which might be offered a reprieve, is now available and published in the journal . This data layer covers all the world鈥檚 coral reefs at a 4-km resolution (i.e. information is extractable for each 4-km pixel) and can be used to decide where to focus energies in conserving these vital and threatened environments.
鈥淧redicting when and where annual bleaching occurs will help policymakers and conservationists decide which reefs to prioritize,鈥� said study leader Dr. van Hooidonk of NOAA and the University of Miami. 鈥淩eefs that will suffer annual bleaching later - known as climate 鈥渞efugia鈥� - are top priorities because they have more 
Coral reefs are the world's most biodiverse marine ecosystems : Image credit: Jerker Tamelandertime to respond positively to efforts that seek to reduce bleaching vulnerability.鈥�
鈥淭hese predictions are a treasure trove for those who are fighting to protect one of the world鈥檚 most magnificent and important ecosystems from the ravages of climate change,鈥� said Erik Solheim, head of UN Environment. 鈥淭hey allow conservationists and governments to prioritize the protection of reefs that may still have time to acclimatize to our warming seas. The projections show us where we still have time to act before it鈥檚 too late.鈥�
You may ask how we are to preserve coral reefs in the face of factors beyond our control. Local actions such as limiting fishing, limiting run-off of pollutants such as fertilizers from the land, and the reduction of disturbance or damage through tourism can contribute to the overall health and resilience of a reef. However, 鈥渙ur strategy of attempting to climate-proof coral reefs by managing local stressors alone is dangerous鈥� explains Dr. Gareth Williams of 天天吃瓜's School of Ocean Sciences; 鈥渨e need to urgently tackle global emissions at an international scale if we are to preserve coral reefs for future generations.鈥�
If emission reductions exceed pledges made by countries to date under the Paris Agreement, coral reefs would have another 11 years, on average, to adapt to warming seas before they are hit by annual bleaching. If such emissions reductions become reality, many high and low latitude reefs in Australia, the south Pacific, India, Coral Triangle and the Florida Reef Tract will have at least 25 more years before annual bleaching occurs, buying time for conservation efforts. However, reefs near the equator will experience annual bleaching much sooner, even if emissions reductions pledges become reality.
鈥淚t is imperative that we take these predictions seriously and that, at the very minimum, we meet the targets of the Paris Agreement. Doing so will buy time for coral reefs and allow us to plan for the future and adapt to the present,鈥� said Mr. Solheim.
Coral reefs are sensitive to climate change : Image credit Jeffrey MaynardThe research group comprising and led by the University of Miami and UN Environment, is now developing a programme to share this vital information with those conservationists and other agencies (e.g. the International Panel on Climate Change, IPCC) charged with managing the world鈥檚 important reef areas- so that this information can be incorporated into their coral reef action plans.
Publication date: 6 February 2017